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Gréczy-blog: Does early election come?

Something is happening here. Only few days ago József Szájer and Antal Rogán vigorously pushed for the electoral registration. Although I assume that before Christmas Fidesz had information that their idea, which would tread on liberties, would be cut off, because I had also written about this in my blog in the days before the feasts. So if I had information, they should have had even more. In addition to this a couple of years ago after that kind of decision of the Constitutional Court the same Fidesz would have called every judge of the Constitutional Court communists noting that with this teeny-weeny cavilling the system of national corporation cannot be forced to retreat. And now the same Antal Rogán stands up and says that the case is closed, there will be no registration in 2014. What could happen?

Of course the magistrates' judgement retrospectively legitimizes the hunger strike of Ferenc Gyurcsány, Csaba Molnár, István Kolber and Péter Niedermüller, which first drew the national and international community's attention to the baseness called registration. The DK has protested most strongly turning to international organizations, with a human chain around the Parliament. So the abolition of this shame is partly the success of the Democratic Coalition definitely.

However from the annulment of the registration it could even follow that Fidesz is preparing for an early election. Here are some reasons, which for Orbán point to having voting in early June 2013:

– According to the researchers until now the Fidesz has still remains the most popular party. (Especially with Jobbik they would have majority.)

– To February they promised the final electoral law, after that only the Parliament should be dissolved, then 90 days and the voting could take place.

– Over the boarder – who knows why – they keep the registration. (The incoming votes will be recorded and summarized by an only Fidesz members containing OVB.)

– The opposition have only just started to negotiate with each other. There's no way to make an agreement till June about the joint program, candidates, especially the candidate for the prime minister. (Perhaps an early election would rather smash the negotiation up than accelerate it.)

– Fidesz has already been campaigning (posters at public spaces which are defaming Gyurcsány and Bajnai, another "peace march" in the air, declining charges of the public services, once again promised rise of the teachers' payment, lightning-fast lifting back of the maximum limit numbers...)

– With the early election at least hundreds of high school students of nowadays, whose future becomes precarious, can be kept away from the voting.

– Orbán's system has built up: with a kind of control of the election the party hacks, who were appointed to reliable district leaders, has taken up their position. (The representatives, who will lose their mandates, have also got their parachutes, which can be opened safely.)

– In March Orbán can fit his party hack to the head of the MNB, so he will access to the reserves of the monetary bank for a last-minute dispense.

– There's the Kubatov list and Simicska's billions, the dominance in the Media, after a potential electoral victory the appointed party hacks' mandates can be renewed again.

Of course the question arises, how could the Fidesz explain this decision? It is simple:

"The Government of the National Cooperation decided to confirm the confidence towards itself in an early election. In the last three years we have built up a new a world in Hungary. We have given a new basic law to the Homeland. We have given voting right to the Hungarians who are living abroad, with that we have unified the Nation. We have abolished the economic dependence of the country. We have defended the Hungarian enterprises, we did not let them make us a colony. For this we had to make great sacrifices, but the new system has been built up: Hungary has become strong and self-confident. The transformation, which involved conflicts, has ended. The country is about to reach economic growth again. It's the time for social, economic and cultural consolidation. Fidesz as the guardian of democracy and the rule of law asks for confidence and a new mandate to continue its work after the election... and so on, etc."

Well so... The danger exists.




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