Opposition only stands a change against Fidesz if they coordinate candidates for next year’s elections

Several sources agree that the so-called "democratic" opposition parties only stand a chance against the governing Fidesz-KDNP alliance at next year's parliamentary elections if they coordinate candidates for as many constituencies as possible, reports 444.hu.

Due to the peculiarities of the one-round election system introduced by the Orbán government for the 2014 elections, it is enough for a candidate to gain a relative majority of votes to win a constituency. This means that Fidesz-KDNP can get another two-third majority with winning only 35% of votes for the parties' list, unless the opposition coordinates its candidates.

It is in the interest of the "democratic" opposition – i.e. all the opposition parties save for Jobbik – to coordinate candidates in as many of the 106 constituencies as possible. It is also desirable for them that the four newer parties in fact form the "New Pole" initiated by Együtt and Dialogue, ideally with the participation of both LMP and Momentum. According to an online calculator on the web site of the Együtt party's András Váradi Foundation, if candidates were coordinated in 64 constituencies Fidesz would already need more than 42.5% for a two-third majority, provided that a three party New Pole gets 15%, and the fourth party (likely LMP or Momentum) gets 6%. Out of the 72 possible scenarios in which the opposition coordinate their candidates in at the least 64 constituencies, there 24 outcomes in which Fidesz-KDNP fall short of gaining supermajority.

Source: 444.hu; politics.hu

Last Updated on Thursday, 12 October 2017 19:49