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Ruling Fidesz would get two-third majority in Parliament, pollsters say

The governing parties have 30% support among all voters, a survey by the Nézőpont Institute has claimed.

According to the Nézőpont survey, commissioned by pro-government daily Magyar Idők, the governing Fidesz- Christian Democrat party alliance "enjoys more support among Hungarians than all other political parties combined", less than a year before the next general election in 2018.
Radical nationalist party Jobbik has the support of 11% of Hungarian voters and the opposition Socialist Party enjoys the support of 7%. The leftist opposition Democratic Coalition (DK) has the support of 3%, green LMP the support of 3% and the Momentum Movement of 2%.The opposition Együtt, Liberal and Dialogue parties, as well as the satirical Kétfarkú Kutya (Two-tailed Dog) each have 1% of public support, according to Nézőpont.
If elections were held next weekend, Fidesz would likely garner 41% percent of all votes, Jobbik 23%, the Socialist Party 15% and DK 5%. LMP and Momentum would each get 4%, Kétfarkú Kutya 3%, Együtt 2% and Dialogue and the Liberals 1% each according to the government-leaning research institute.
Medián's latest opinion poll, shows a slight uptick in Fidesz support while the opposition parties' positions remain fairly constant. I will not burden you with too many details and will provide figures only for those voters who claim they will certainly vote at the next election. In this group Fidesz leads with 53%, followed by Jobbik at 21%, while MSZP, which looks upon itself as the leading party on the left, currently garners only 12%. DK stands at 6% and LMP at 3%, which means that it wouldn't meet the 5% threshold for representation in parliament. The smaller mickey mouse parties like Momentum, Együtt, Two-tailed Dog, and MoMa each have a 1% share of the active voters while the Hungarian Liberal Party and Párbeszéd have even less support. As it stands, about 10% of votes would be absolutely wasted if all these parties decided to run on their own. Given the fractured state of the left-of-center opposition, it is not at all surprising that 33% of the likely voters have no idea at the moment for which party they will vote at next year's election.
Medián also asked people's opinion of politicians. Hungarians have a very low opinion of politicians in general. Usually, János Áder heads the list, but his rank is due only to his office. People feel they must respect the president of the country. But even Áder's "popularity" is only 49%. Viktor Orbán trails at 44%. The most popular opposition politician is Gergely Karácsony, mayor of Zugló (District XIV), with 39%. Currently he is Párbeszéd's candidate for the premiership, which might be responsible for an 8% jump in his popularity in the last two months. On the other hand, MSZP's László Botka hasn't captured the imagination of the electorate. On the contrary, between April and June he has lost 8%. His current standing is a mere 26%. There are only two politicians who are less popular than Botka: Lajos Bokros and Ferenc Gyurcsány. Given Botka's lack of popularity and the stagnating low support for MSZP, the socialist party's prospects don't seem too bright.

Last Updated on Wednesday, 05 July 2017 18:45

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